Business Plan Financial Projections

Financial projections are forecasted analyses of your business' future that include income statements, balance sheets and cash flow statements.

Business Plan Financial Projections

 

Financial projections are forecasted analyses of your business’ future that include income statements, balance sheets and cash flow statements. We have found them to be a crucial part of your business plan for the following reasons:

1.    They can help prove or disprove the viability of your business idea. For example, if your initial projections show your company will never make a sizable profit, your venture might not be feasible. Or, in such a case, you might figure out ways to raise prices, enter new markets, or streamline operations to make it profitable. 

2.    Financial projections give investors and lenders an idea of how well your business is likely to do in the future. They can give lenders the confidence that you’ll be able to comfortably repay their loan with interest. And for equity investors, your projections can give them faith that you’ll earn them a solid return on investment. In both cases, your projections can help you secure the funding you need to launch or grow your business.

3.    Financial projections help you track your progress over time and ensure your business is on track to meet its goals. For example, if your financial projections show you should generate R500,000 in sales during the year, but you are not on track to accomplish that, you’ll know you need to take corrective action to achieve your goal.

Below you’ll learn more about the key components of financial projections and how to complete and include them in your business plan.

If you’d like to quickly and easily complete your business plan and financial projections, download our business plan template and complete your plan and financial model in hours<-- 

What Are Business Plan Financial Projections?

Financial projections are an estimate of your company’s future financial performance through financial forecasting. They are typically used by businesses to secure funding, but can also be useful for internal decision-making and planning purposes. There are three main financial statements that you will need to include in your business plan financial projections:

1. Income Statement Projection

The income statement projection is a forecast of your company’s future revenues and expenses. It should include line items for each type of income and expense, as well as a total at the end.

There are a few key items you will need to include in your projection:

  • Revenue: Your revenue projection should break down your expected sales by product or service, as well as by month. It is important to be realistic in your projections, so make sure to account for any seasonal variations in your business.
  • Expenses: Your expense projection should include a breakdown of your expected costs by category, such as marketing, salaries, and rent. Again, it is important to be realistic in your estimates.
  • Net Income: The net income projection is the difference between your revenue and expenses. This number tells you how much profit your company is expected to make.

 

Sample Income Statement

   

FY 1

FY 2

FY 3

FY 4

FY 5

Revenues

           
 

Total Revenues

R360,000

R793,728

R875,006

R964,606

R1,063,382

             

Expenses & Costs

           
             
 

Cost of goods sold

R64,800

R142,871

R157,501

R173,629

R191,409

 

Lease

R50,000

R51,250

R52,531

R53,845

R55,191

 

Marketing

R10,000

R8,000

R8,000

R8,000

R8,000

 

Salaries

R157,015

R214,030

R235,968

R247,766

R260,155

 

Initial expenditure

R10,000

R0

R0

R0

R0

             
 

Total Expenses & Costs

R291,815

R416,151

R454,000

R483,240

R514,754

             

EBITDA

 

R68,185 

R377,577 

R421,005 

R481,366 

R548,628

 

Depreciation

R27,160

R27,160 

R27,160 

R27,160 

R27,160

EBIT

 

R41,025 

R350,417 

R393,845

R454,206

R521,468

 

Interest

R23,462

R20,529 

R17,596 

R14,664 

R11,731 

PRETAX INCOME

 

R17,563 

R329,888 

R376,249 

R439,543 

R509,737 

 

Net Operating Loss

R0

R0

R0

R0

R0

 

Use of Net Operating Loss

R0

R0

R0

R0

R0

 

Taxable Income

R17,563

R329,888

R376,249

R439,543

R509,737

 

Income Tax Expense

R6,147

R115,461

R131,687

R153,840

R178,408

NET INCOME

 

R11,416 

R214,427 

 

 

 

R244,562 

R285,703 

R331,329

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2. Cash Flow Statement & Projection

The cash flow statement and projection are a forecast of your company’s future cash inflows and outflows. It is important to include a cash flow projection in your business plan, as it will give investors and lenders an idea of your company’s ability to generate cash.

There are a few key items you will need to include in your cash flow projection:

  • The cash flow statement shows a breakdown of your expected cash inflows and outflows by month. It is important to be realistic in your projections, so make sure to account for any seasonal variations in your business.
  • Cash inflows should include items such as sales revenue, interest income, and capital gains. Cash outflows should include items such as salaries, rent, and marketing expenses.
  • It is important to track your company’s cash flow over time to ensure that it is healthy. A healthy cash flow is necessary for a successful business.

 

Sample Cash Flow Statements

   

FY 1

FY 2

FY 3

FY 4

FY 5

CASH FLOW FROM OPERATIONS

           
 

Net Income (Loss)

R11,416 

R214,427 

R244,562 

R285,703

R331,329

 

Change in working capital

(R19,200)

(R1,966)

(R2,167)

(R2,389)

(R2,634)

 

Depreciation

R27,160 

R27,160 

R27,160 

R27,160 

R27,160 

 

Net Cash Flow from Operations

R19,376 

R239,621 

R269,554 

R310,473 

R355,855 

             

CASH FLOW FROM INVESTMENTS

           
 

Investment

(R180,950)

R0

R0

R0

R0

 

Net Cash Flow from Investments

(R180,950)

R0

R0

R0

R0

             

CASH FLOW FROM FINANCING

           
 

Cash from equity

R0

R0

R0

R0

R0

 

Cash from debt

R315,831 

(R45,119)

(R45,119)

(R45,119)

(R45,119)

 

Net Cash Flow from Financing

R315,831 

(R45,119)

(R45,119)

(R45,119)

(R45,119)

             
 

Net Cash Flow

R154,257

R194,502 

R224,436 

R265,355

R310,736

 

Cash at Beginning of Period

R0

R154,257

R348,760

R573,195

R838,550

 

Cash at End of Period

R154,257

R348,760

R573,195

R838,550

R1,149,286

 

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3. Balance Sheet Projection

The balance sheet projection is a forecast of your company’s future financial position. It should include line items for each type of asset and liability, as well as a total at the end.

A projection should include a breakdown of your company’s assets and liabilities by category. It is important to be realistic in your projections, so make sure to account for any seasonal variations in your business.

It is important to track your company’s financial position over time to ensure that it is healthy. A healthy balance is necessary for a successful business.

 

Sample Balance Sheet

   

FY 1

FY 2

FY 3

FY 4

FY 5

ASSETS

           
 

Cash

R154,257

R348,760

R573,195

R838,550

R1,149,286

 

Accounts receivable

R0

R0

R0

R0

R0

 

Inventory

R30,000

R33,072

R36,459

R40,192

R44,308

 

Total Current Assets

R184,257

R381,832

R609,654

R878,742

R1,193,594

             
 

Fixed assets

R180,950

R180,950

R180,950

R180,950

R180,950

 

Depreciation

R27,160

R54,320

R81,480

R108,640 

R135,800 

 

Net fixed assets

R153,790 

R126,630 

R99,470 

R72,310 

R45,150 

             

TOTAL ASSETS

 

R338,047

R508,462

R709,124

R951,052

R1,238,744

             

LIABILITIES & EQUITY

           
 

Debt

R315,831

R270,713

R225,594

R180,475 

R135,356 

 

Accounts payable

R10,800

R11,906

R13,125

R14,469 

R15,951 

 

Total Liability

R326,631 

R282,618 

R238,719 

R194,944 

R151,307 

             
 

Share Capital

R0

R0

R0

R0

R0

 

Retained earnings

R11,416 

R225,843 

R470,405 

R756,108

R1,087,437

 

Total Equity

R11,416

R225,843

R470,405

R756,108

R1,087,437

             

TOTAL LIABILITIES & EQUITY

 

R338,047

R508,462

R709,124

R951,052

R1,238,744

 

How to Create Financial Projections

Creating financial projections for your business plan can be a daunting task, but it’s important to put together accurate and realistic financial projections in order to give your business the best chance for success.
 

Cost Assumptions

When you create financial projections, it is important to be realistic about the costs your business will incur, using historical financial data can help with this. You will need to make assumptions about the cost of goods sold, operational costs, and capital expenditures.

It is important to track your company’s expenses over time to ensure that it is staying within its budget. A healthy bottom line is necessary for a successful business.

 

Capital Expenditures, Funding, Tax, and Balance Sheet Items

You will also need to make assumptions about capital expenditures, funding, tax, and balance sheet items. These assumptions will help you to create a realistic financial picture of your business.

·       Capital Expenditures

When projecting your company’s capital expenditures, you will need to make a number of assumptions about the type of equipment or property your business will purchase. You will also need to estimate the cost of the purchase.

It is important to track your company’s capital expenditures over time to ensure that it is staying within its budget. A healthy bottom line is necessary for a successful business.

·       Funding

When projecting your company’s funding needs, you will need to make a number of assumptions about where the money will come from. This might include assumptions about bank loans, venture capital, or angel investors.

It is important to track your company’s funding sources over time to ensure that it has a healthy mix of financing options. A healthy balance is necessary for a successful business.

·       Tax

When projecting your company’s tax liability, you will need to make a number of assumptions about the tax rates that will apply to your business. You will also need to estimate the amount of taxes your company will owe.

It is important to track your company’s tax liability over time to ensure that it is staying within its budget. A healthy bottom line is necessary for a successful business.

·       Balance Sheet Items

When projecting your company’s balance, you will need to make a number of assumptions about the type and amount of debt your business will have. You will also need to estimate the value of your company’s assets and liabilities.

It is important to track your company’s debt levels and asset values over time to ensure that they are in line with your projections. 

Easily complete your business plan and financial projections! 

 

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Financial Projection Scenarios

Write two financial scenarios when creating your financial projections, a best-case scenario, and a worst-case scenario. Use your list of assumptions to come up with realistic numbers for each scenario.

Presuming that you have already generated a list of assumptions, the creation of best and worst-case scenarios should be relatively simple. For each assumption, generate a high and low estimate. For example, if you are assuming that your company will have R100,000 in revenue, your high estimate might be R120,000 and your low estimate might be R80,000.

Once you have generated high and low estimates for all of your assumptions, you can create two scenarios: a best case scenario and a worst-case scenario. Simply plug the high estimates into your financial projections for the best-case scenario and the low estimates into your financial projections for the worst-case scenario.

 

Conduct a Ratio Analysis

A ratio analysis is a useful tool that can be used to evaluate a company’s financial health. Ratios can be used to compare a company’s performance to its industry average or to its own historical performance.

There are a number of different ratios that can be used in ratio analysis. Some of the more popular ones include the following:

  • Gross margin ratio
  • Operating margin ratio
  • Return on assets (ROA)
  • Return on equity (ROE)

To conduct a ratio analysis, you will need financial statements for your company and for its competitors. You will also need industry average ratios. These can be found in industry reports or on financial websites.

Once you have the necessary information, you can calculate the ratios for your company and compare them to the industry averages or to your own historical performance. If your company’s ratios are significantly different from the industry averages, it might be indicative of a problem.

 

Be Realistic

When creating your financial projections, it is important to be realistic. Your projections should be based on your list of assumptions and should reflect your best estimate of what your company’s future financial performance will be. This includes projected operating income, a projected income statement, and a profit and loss statement.

Your goal should be to create a realistic set of financial projections that can be used to guide your company’s future decision-making.

 

Sales Forecast

One of the most important aspects of your financial projections is your sales forecast. Your sales forecast should be based on your list of assumptions and should reflect your best estimate of what your company’s future sales will be.

Your sales forecast should be realistic and achievable. Do not try to “game” the system by creating an overly optimistic or pessimistic forecast. Your goal should be to create a realistic sales forecast that can be used to guide your company’s future decision-making.

Creating a sales forecast is not an exact science, but there are a number of methods that can be used to generate realistic estimates. Some common methods include market analysis, competitor analysis, and customer surveys.

 

Create Multi-Year Financial Projections

When creating financial projections, it is important to generate projections for multiple years. This will give you a better sense of how your company’s financial performance is likely to change over time.

It is also important to remember that your financial projections are just that: projections. They are based on a number of assumptions and are not guaranteed to be accurate. As such, you should review and update your projections on a regular basis to ensure that they remain relevant.

Creating financial projections is an important part of any business plan. However, it’s important to remember that these projections are just estimates. They are not guarantees of future success.If you’d like to quickly and easily complete your business plan and financial projections, download our business plan template and complete your plan and financial model in hours<--

 

Business Plan Financial Projections FAQs

 

What is business plan financial projection?

What are annual income statements?

What are the necessary financial statements?

How do I create financial projections?

What are the necessary financial statements?

 

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